Paksi SE 2-1 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒19:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
2.17/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.59
+24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
33.7 Crosses 21.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ujpest
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
226 Passes 281
63% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-2 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
29.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MACK
03.12.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
19.08.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
16.04.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 3-2 HT 2-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
12.11.2022 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-1
AWAY Ujpest
1.61 xG 0.66
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
285 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE edged past Ujpest 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Paksi SE had 44% of the ball to Ujpest's 56%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.61 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Paksi SE and 1.33 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Ujpest?

Paksi SE 2-1 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 48%, draw 22%, Ujpest 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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