Paksi SE 1-2 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.18
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
2.30/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.26
+35% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
31.2 Crosses 25.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ujpest
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.90 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
206 Passes 304
60% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MACK
03.12.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
19.08.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
16.04.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 3-2 HT 2-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
12.11.2022 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
26.08.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 2-3 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
1-2
AWAY Ujpest
1.22 xG 1.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
267 Passes 237
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest squeezed past Paksi SE 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Paksi SE had 54% of the ball to Ujpest's 46%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.22 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Paksi SE and 1.33 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Ujpest?

Paksi SE 1-2 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 49%, draw 24%, Ujpest 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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