Zalaegerszegi TE 4-2 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.85/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.39
+4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
15.4 Crosses 25.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 1.55
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
251 Passes 454
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
26.04.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
07.02.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
29.09.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
07.05.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 2-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.04.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
4-2
AWAY Puskas FC
2.52 xG 0.97
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
282 Passes 489
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE beat Puskas FC 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Puskas FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 39% of the ball to Puskas FC's 61%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.52 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 0.67 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas FC?

Zalaegerszegi TE 4-2 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 31%, draw 28%, Puskas FC 41%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puskas FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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