Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 53%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
2.28/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.41
+26% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
14.2 Crosses 27.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 1.82
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
228 Passes 422
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 36
6 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
29.09.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
07.05.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 2-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.04.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
12.02.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
11.09.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
1-0
AWAY Puskas FC
1.15 xG 1.64
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 4
263 Passes 513
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE nicked a narrow win over Puskas FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Puskas FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 37% of the ball to Puskas FC's 63%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.15 to 1.64 — on chances, Puskas FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 0.83 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas FC?

Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 30%, draw 26%, Puskas FC 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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