Puskas FC 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 25% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.93/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.35
-22% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.3 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.05 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
325 Passes 295
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
07.05.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 2-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.04.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
12.02.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
11.09.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
19.03.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
0-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.59 xG 1.79
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
519 Passes 161
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
41 Box Touches 12
43 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE edged past Puskas FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Puskas FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 71% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 29%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.59 to 1.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Puskas FC and 0.83 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Puskas FC 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 46%, draw 26%, Zalaegerszegi TE 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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