Kisvarda 1-2 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 7 Feb 2024

Kisvarda
1-2 HT 0-0
MOL Fehervar
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Kisvarda vs MOL Fehervar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kisvarda v MOL Fehervar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -35%
1.49/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.63
+0% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.6 Crosses 20.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kisvarda vs MOL Fehervar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
2W-1D-3L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.91 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 Passes 250
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-1 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
16.04.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-0 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
13.11.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 4-1 HT 2-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
28.08.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 3-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
02.04.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 5-3 HT 2-3 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
05.12.2021 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-1 HT 2-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC

Kisvarda 1-2 MOL Fehervar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
1-2
AWAY MOL Fehervar
0.65 xG 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
268 Passes 279
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar nicked a narrow win over Kisvarda 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kisvarda at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kisvarda had 51% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 49%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.65 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kisvarda and 2.33 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs MOL Fehervar?

Kisvarda 1-2 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kisvarda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 45%, draw 26%, MOL Fehervar 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kisvarda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kisvarda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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