Pulau Pinang 2-1 Negeri Sembilan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
51%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
31%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
51%
Away Win
45%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pulau Pinang EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Negeri Sembilan EU Bookmakers 49%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.60/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.74
-50% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
371 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pulau Pinang
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Negeri Sembilan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
05.04.2025 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan 0-2 HT 0-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
22.09.2024 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 2-2 HT 2-2 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan MALES
26.06.2023 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan 1-1 HT 0-0 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
01.03.2023 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 0-0 HT 0-0 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan MALES
09.08.2022 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan 3-2 HT 1-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
09.04.2022 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 1-1 HT 1-1 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan MALES
POST-MATCH Pulau Pinang vs Negeri Sembilan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pulau Pinang edged past Negeri Sembilan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Negeri Sembilan at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pulau Pinang and 1.17 for Negeri Sembilan.

What was the final score of Pulau Pinang vs Negeri Sembilan?

Pulau Pinang 2-1 Negeri Sembilan in the Malaysia - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pulau Pinang vs Negeri Sembilan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Negeri Sembilan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pulau Pinang 23%, draw 26%, Negeri Sembilan 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Negeri Sembilan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Negeri Sembilan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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4 Oct 2025
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