CD Tapatio 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
-0.2pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.0pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.4pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
2.01/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.22
+2% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.02.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-3 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
17.08.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 6-0 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
08.03.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-2 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
01.08.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
03.03.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
04.08.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Tapatio
0-1
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca edged past CD Tapatio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. CD Tapatio carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Tapatio had 51% of the ball to Alebrijes de Oaxaca's 49%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.50 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

CD Tapatio 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 63%, draw 18%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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