CD Tapatio 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.23
Over
63%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.72
No
45%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
42%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME CD Tapatio The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca The Market 20%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.09 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
0.85 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.23
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.02.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-3 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
17.08.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 6-0 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
08.03.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-2 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
01.08.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
03.03.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
04.08.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Tapatio
0 - 1
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW CD Tapatio vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alebrijes de Oaxaca found just enough to beat CD Tapatio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. CD Tapatio carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, CD Tapatio had 51% of the ball to Alebrijes de Oaxaca's 49%, shots finished 6-12.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.50 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

CD Tapatio vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Result & Final Score

CD Tapatio 0 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

CD Tapatio vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 68%, draw 18%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
4 Oct 2025
04:00 Irapuato vs Correcaminos UAT Analysis →
04:00 Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Monarcas Morelia Analysis →
06:00 CA La Paz vs Cancun FC Analysis →