Fana 3-4 Bjarg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 4 Oct 2025

Fana
3-4 HT 2-4
Bjarg
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
59%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.6pp
59%
Away Win
61%
-2.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.3pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fana EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Bjarg EU Bookmakers 66%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.85/1.38
-39% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
286 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 503 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fana
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bjarg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Fana Fana 1-5 HT 0-2 Bjarg Bjarg NOR4
22.06.2024 Bjarg Bjarg 3-0 HT 0-0 Fana Fana NOR4
24.05.2023 Bjarg Bjarg 2-3 HT 1-1 Fana Fana NOK
16.10.2022 Bjarg Bjarg 2-1 HT 1-1 Fana Fana NOR4
14.04.2022 Fana Fana 2-0 HT 1-0 Bjarg Bjarg NOR4
23.10.2021 Bjarg Bjarg 1-3 HT 0-1 Fana Fana NOR4
POST-MATCH Fana vs Bjarg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bjarg squeezed past Fana 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bjarg as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fana and 2.17 for Bjarg.

What was the final score of Fana vs Bjarg?

Fana 3-4 Bjarg in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fana vs Bjarg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bjarg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Fana 21%, draw 20%, Bjarg 59%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjarg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bjarg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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