Vindbjart 5-2 Madla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.47
Draw
14%
4.81
Away
14%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
64%
+9.0pp
14%
Draw
18%
-3.5pp
14%
Away Win
19%
-5.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.2pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vindbjart EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Madla EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
3.69/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.24
+46% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
419 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vindbjart
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Madla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
07.06.2025 Madla Madla 1-3 HT 1-2 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
20.10.2024 Madla Madla 0-0 HT 0-0 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
13.04.2024 Vindbjart Vindbjart 3-2 HT 1-2 Madla Madla NOR4
POST-MATCH Vindbjart vs Madla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vindbjart cruised past Madla 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vindbjart as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vindbjart had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vindbjart and 1.00 for Madla.

What was the final score of Vindbjart vs Madla?

Vindbjart 5-2 Madla in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vindbjart vs Madla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vindbjart win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Vindbjart 73%, draw 14%, Madla 14%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vindbjart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vindbjart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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