Valerenga vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valerenga v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals
Valerenga vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Tromsö
NOR
0-0
HT 0-0
Valerenga
NOR
1-0
HT 0-0
Tromsö
NOR
1-0
HT 0-0
Valerenga
NOR
Valerenga 1-0 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics
Valerenga squeezed past Tromsö 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Valerenga made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valerenga had 40% of the ball to Tromsö's 60%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.26 to 1.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valerenga and 0.67 for Tromsö.
What was the final score of Valerenga vs Tromsö?
Valerenga 1-0 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Tromsö?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 35%, draw 27%, Tromsö 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.