Valerenga 1-0 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.03
Over 2.5
62%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.88
2-3 Goals
46%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
45%
-7.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
55%
+7.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.8pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 38%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.25/2.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/0.27
-84% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Tromsö
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.69 xG 1.22
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
427 Passes 421
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
09.07.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 0-0 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
21.08.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 1-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
12.05.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
21.11.2021 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
15.08.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
1-0
AWAY Tromsö
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga squeezed past Tromsö 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Valerenga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valerenga had 49% of the ball to Tromsö's 51%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valerenga and 0.67 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Tromsö?

Valerenga 1-0 Tromsö in the Norway - NM Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 37%, draw 23%, Tromsö 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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