Sogndal 1-1 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.08
2-3 Goals
34%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
9.82
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 40%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-100% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
0W-2D-4L
AWAY KFUM Oslo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 0-3 HT 0-2 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
10.04.2023 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-1 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
07.08.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 1-2 HT 0-1 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
03.07.2022 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 3-2 HT 3-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
30.06.2022 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-1 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOK
01.12.2021 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal and KFUM Oslo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was KFUM Oslo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KFUM Oslo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sogndal and 1.83 for KFUM Oslo.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs KFUM Oslo?

Sogndal 1-1 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - NM Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated an KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 31%, draw 27%, KFUM Oslo 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KFUM Oslo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KFUM Oslo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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