Bodo/Glimt 2-4 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
29%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
69%
-21.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
29%
Away Win
12%
+16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
3.12/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.93
+9% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -25%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodo/Glimt
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lilleström
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.32 xG 0.88
61% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
469 Passes 307
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 0-5 HT 0-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
30.10.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3-1 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
07.05.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 1-2 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
26.04.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 1-0 HT 1-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOK
01.10.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 1-4 HT 1-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
08.05.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-1 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
POST-MATCH Bodo/Glimt vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström saw off Bodo/Glimt 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bodo/Glimt at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 0.83 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of Bodo/Glimt vs Lilleström?

Bodo/Glimt 2-4 Lilleström in the Norway - NM Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo/Glimt vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bodo/Glimt 47%, draw 24%, Lilleström 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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