01/05/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
3-0
Egersunds vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
24%
Draw
26%
45%
Away Win
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Egersunds v HamKam — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Egersunds
EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
HamKam
EU Bookmakers 48%
-47% /
-47%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-11% /
-11%
1.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.01/0.03
-36%
/
-28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-99%
/
+150%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
283 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
367 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Egersunds vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
HamKam saw off Egersunds 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HamKam as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Egersunds vs HamKam?
Egersunds 1-3 HamKam in the Norway - NM Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Egersunds vs HamKam?
Before kick-off our model rated an HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 31%, draw 24%, HamKam 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HamKam), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (HamKam)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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NOK
More Norway - NM Cup
1 May 2024