Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

Erzurumspor FK
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Van Spor FK
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Erzurumspor FK vs Van Spor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.79
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
17%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.61
Over
41%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.12
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.47
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
18%
4.99
6+
3%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.47
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.25
X/1
21%
4.07
X/2
7%
8.64
X/X
18%
4.09
2/1
3%
29.0
2/2
8%
7.69
2/X
5%
16.85
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Erzurumspor FK v Van Spor FK — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Erzurumspor FK The Market 56%
Signal
AWAY Van Spor FK The Market 24%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.71
0.97 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.48
Strong Attack Strength –
Weak Defense Strength –
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17 Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards –

Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Van Spor FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1 - 1
AWAY Van Spor FK
0.55 xG 0.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
301 Passes 230
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Erzurumspor FK vs Van Spor FK
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Erzurumspor FK and Van Spor FK with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Erzurumspor FK at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in Erzurumspor FK's favour, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.55 to 0.39.

Erzurumspor FK vs Van Spor FK Result & Final Score

Erzurumspor FK 1 - 1 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Erzurumspor FK vs Van Spor FK Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 55%, draw 28%, Van Spor FK 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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