Bandırmaspor 2-1 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.74
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
20%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.83
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.13
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
21%
3.86
6+
5%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.3
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
19%
4.22
X/2
8%
9.12
X/X
16%
4.76
2/1
3%
24.85
2/2
11%
7.49
2/X
5%
15.85
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bandırmaspor The Market 57%
Signal
AWAY Ümraniyespor The Market 24%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.71 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.89
1.01 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.61
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.42 xG 0.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 Passes 359
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
24.02.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 4-1 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
29.09.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
06.02.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
11.09.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-0 HT 2-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
23.01.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
2 - 1
AWAY Ümraniyespor
3.13 xG 1.05
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
351 Passes 203
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bandırmaspor found just enough to beat Ümraniyespor 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 50%.

The match data tells the story: possession split 60% to 40% in Bandırmaspor's favour, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 3.13 to 1.05 — on chances created, Bandırmaspor won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Bandırmaspor against 0.50 for Ümraniyespor.

Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor Result & Final Score

Bandırmaspor 2 - 1 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 54%, draw 26%, Ümraniyespor 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Under 2.5
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