Bandırmaspor 4-1 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.17
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
22%
3.94
X/2
9%
9.65
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
9%
7.57
2/X
7%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.48/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.76
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.1 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 0.69
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
276 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
06.02.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
11.09.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-0 HT 2-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
23.01.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
12.09.2020 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
18.03.2017 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
4-1
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.92 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
414 Passes 369
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor ran out comfortable winners over Ümraniyespor 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 52% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 48%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.92 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bandırmaspor and 0.67 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Bandırmaspor 4-1 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 50%, draw 26%, Ümraniyespor 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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