Çorum FK 2-1 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.57
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 34% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
17%
5.08
X/2
15%
5.66
X/X
7%
3.93
2/1
4%
32.0
2/2
21%
4.26
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.5pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.0pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 37%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
2.48/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.11
-25% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
35.5 Crosses 14.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 1.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
316 Passes 148
77% Pass Accuracy 59%
16 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-1 HT 2-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
06.11.2021 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
2-1
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.91 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
266 Passes 170
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK edged past Bodrum FK 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bodrum FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çorum FK had 58% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 42%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.91 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Çorum FK and 1.50 for Bodrum FK.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Bodrum FK?

Çorum FK 2-1 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 36%, draw 22%, Bodrum FK 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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