Adanaspor 0-3 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

Adanaspor
0-3 HT 0-3
Göztepe
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Adanaspor vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
3.13
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.74
6+ Goals
6%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 39% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
10.5
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
10%
19.0
X/1
8%
12.2
X/2
24%
3.5
X/X
10%
5.31
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.9
2/X
7%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adanaspor v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 66%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.07/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.53
-16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -39%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 83%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
17.4 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Adanaspor vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Göztepe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
361 Passes 330
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
04.12.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
24.01.2016 Göztepe Göztepe 0-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
23.08.2015 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
10.03.2013 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
22.10.2012 Göztepe Göztepe 0-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L

Adanaspor 0-3 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
0-3
AWAY Göztepe
0.73 xG 0.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
302 Passes 261
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 42
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe ran out comfortable winners over Adanaspor 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Adanaspor had 54% of the ball to Göztepe's 46%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.73 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Adanaspor and 1.00 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Göztepe?

Adanaspor 0-3 Göztepe in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 18%, draw 27%, Göztepe 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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