Bandırmaspor 2-0 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

Bandırmaspor
2-0 HT 1-0
Ümraniyespor
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 26% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.37
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
23%
4.34
X/2
11%
8.67
X/X
12%
4.81
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
7%
6.88
2/X
8%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bandırmaspor v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.58/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.46
+20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.9 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 0.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 4-1 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
29.09.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
06.02.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
11.09.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-0 HT 2-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
23.01.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
12.09.2020 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L

Bandırmaspor 2-0 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
2-0
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.41 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
286 Passes 297
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor beat Ümraniyespor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 49% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 51%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.41 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bandırmaspor and 0.83 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Bandırmaspor 2-0 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 50%, draw 26%, Ümraniyespor 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor)
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