Adanaspor 2-0 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

Adanaspor
2-0 HT 1-0
MKE Ankaragücü
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Adanaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 32% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.35
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
11%
6.19
X/2
9%
5.2
X/X
12%
4.55
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
18%
3.33
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adanaspor v MKE Ankaragücü — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
1.25/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.26
+18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.8 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Adanaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
318 Passes 403
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.10.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
17.04.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
21.11.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
09.03.2018 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
20.10.2017 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
28.01.2013 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L

Adanaspor 2-0 MKE Ankaragücü — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
2-0
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.02 xG 0.84
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
185 Passes 448
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor beat MKE Ankaragücü 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Adanaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Adanaspor had 33% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 67%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.02 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Adanaspor and 0.83 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Adanaspor 2-0 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adanaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 37%, draw 28%, MKE Ankaragücü 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adanaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adanaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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