MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
21.85
X/1
23%
3.33
X/2
5%
17.05
X/X
10%
6.4
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
6%
14.65
2/X
6%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.93/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.82
-18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
412 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
23.9 Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Adanaspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.52 xG 1.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
345 Passes 388
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
21.11.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
09.03.2018 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
20.10.2017 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
28.01.2013 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
01.09.2012 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0-0
AWAY Adanaspor
1.32 xG 0.56
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
518 Passes 180
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü and Adanaspor played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had MKE Ankaragücü at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 71% of the ball to Adanaspor's 29%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.32 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 0.50 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Adanaspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 61%, draw 23%, Adanaspor 16%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
5 Oct 2024
19:00 Fatih Karagümrük vs Sakaryaspor Analysis →
19:00 Şanlıurfaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor Analysis →