Fatih Karagümrük 4-0 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

Fatih Karagümrük
4-0 HT 1-0
Sakaryaspor
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Fatih Karagümrük vs Sakaryaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.24
X/2
7%
8.2
X/X
16%
4.69
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
11%
6.27
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fatih Karagümrük v Sakaryaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.66/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.77
+1% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
18.2 Crosses 15.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Fatih Karagümrük vs Sakaryaspor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
24.03.2018 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-2 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-B

Fatih Karagümrük 4-0 Sakaryaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
4-0
AWAY Sakaryaspor
2.16 xG 0.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
332 Passes 374
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük ran out comfortable winners over Sakaryaspor 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 47% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 53%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 2.16 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Sakaryaspor?

Fatih Karagümrük 4-0 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 47%, draw 29%, Sakaryaspor 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
5 Oct 2024
16:00 MKE Ankaragücü vs Adanaspor Analysis →
19:00 Şanlıurfaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor Analysis →