Şanlıurfaspor 3-0 Yeni Malatyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.16
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
18%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
82%
-22.5pp
24%
Draw
13%
+10.6pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+11.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.0pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor EU Bookmakers 8%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.20/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.60
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
21.0 Crosses 9.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
11.03.2017 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
16.10.2016 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor T1L
09.04.2016 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
07.11.2015 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor T1L
27.07.2015 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor HAZ
07.12.2011 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
3-0
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
3.86 xG 0.48
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
424 Passes 241
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
40 Box Touches 6
37 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor cruised past Yeni Malatyaspor 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Şanlıurfaspor as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 62% of the ball to Yeni Malatyaspor's 38%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 3.86 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yeni Malatyaspor led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 1.50 for Yeni Malatyaspor.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Şanlıurfaspor 3-0 Yeni Malatyaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şanlıurfaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 59%, draw 24%, Yeni Malatyaspor 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Şanlıurfaspor), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Şanlıurfaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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