Gençlerbirliği 2-2 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 32% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.9
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
9%
6.57
X/2
13%
4.88
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.11
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.37/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.05
-22% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
22.8 Crosses 21.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.66
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 346
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
05.12.2020 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-1 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
16.02.2020 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
22.09.2019 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
04.03.2018 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
01.10.2017 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 4-1 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
2-2
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.81 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
330 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği and Alanyaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 55% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 45%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.81 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.33 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor?

Gençlerbirliği 2-2 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 31%, draw 29%, Alanyaspor 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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