Galatasaray 1-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Oct 2025

Galatasaray
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Beşiktaş
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.51
Over Pick
66%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.48
No
38%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.43
2-3
43%
2.01
4-5
31%
2.58
6+
11%
5.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.16
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
18%
4.69
X/2
8%
9.51
X/X
12%
6.44
2/1 ✗
4%
19.3
2/2
11%
6.4
2/X
5%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.3 — our 4% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Galatasaray v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Galatasaray The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.94 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.35
0.95 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.92
Average Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3

Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.03 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
28.10.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
03.08.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0-5 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSK
03.03.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
21.10.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
30.04.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL

Galatasaray 1-1 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
1 - 1
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.98 xG 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
328 Passes 262
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Galatasaray and Beşiktaş finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Galatasaray at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, possession split 54% to 46% in Galatasaray's favour, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.98 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Galatasaray against 2.00 for Beşiktaş.

Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş Result & Final Score

Galatasaray 1 - 1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 58%, draw 22%, Beşiktaş 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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