Galatasaray 2-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
6.65
2-3 Goals
40%
2.14
4-5 Goals
24%
2.5
6+ Goals
10%
5.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.18
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
20%
4.65
X/2
8%
9.35
X/X
16%
6.55
2/1
6%
19.35
2/2
10%
5.68
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.6pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +1%
2.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.72
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.2 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.14 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.08.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0-5 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSK
03.03.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
21.10.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
30.04.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
05.11.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
14.03.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 2-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
2-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.99 xG 0.59
39% Ball Possession 61%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
199 Passes 353
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray edged past Beşiktaş 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Galatasaray had 39% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 61%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.99 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Galatasaray's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Galatasaray and 1.83 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş?

Galatasaray 2-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 50%, draw 26%, Beşiktaş 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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