Başakşehir FK 1-1 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Oct 2024

Başakşehir FK
1-1 HT 0-1
Eyüpspor
📅28/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Başakşehir FK vs Eyüpspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.88
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
15%
4.68
X/2
11%
6.95
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
15%
5.03
2/X
8%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Başakşehir FK v Eyüpspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.48/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.32
+13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.1 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Başakşehir FK 1-1 Eyüpspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
1-1
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.66 xG 0.53
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
435 Passes 229
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK and Eyüpspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Başakşehir FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 64% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 36%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.66 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Eyüpspor?

Başakşehir FK 1-1 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - Super League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 42%, draw 25%, Eyüpspor 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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