Beşiktaş 2-1 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
14%
8.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42 — our 25% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.45
1/2
6%
23.3
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
13%
7.02
X/2
10%
5.5
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
27%
3.04
2/X
12%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 46%
+13% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.19/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.99
-5% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
17.5 Crosses 21.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 Passes 298
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
03.08.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0-5 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSK
03.03.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
21.10.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
30.04.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
05.11.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
2-1
AWAY Galatasaray
2.01 xG 0.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
287 Passes 242
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş nicked a narrow win over Galatasaray 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Galatasaray at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 54% of the ball to Galatasaray's 46%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.01 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Beşiktaş's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.33 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray?

Beşiktaş 2-1 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 28%, draw 29%, Galatasaray 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galatasaray), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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