Trabzonspor 1-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

Trabzonspor
1-1 HT 1-1
Göztepe
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Trabzonspor vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.97
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
20%
4.95
X/2
11%
7.03
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
10%
5.13
2/X
10%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trabzonspor v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -27%
1.68/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.52
+10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.1 Crosses 18.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Trabzonspor vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Göztepe
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.96 xG 1.91
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
443 Passes 306
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Göztepe Göztepe 2-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
12.03.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-2 HT 2-2 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
23.10.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 0-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.04.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
06.01.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
12.06.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 1-3 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL

Trabzonspor 1-1 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
1-1
AWAY Göztepe
0.81 xG 1.43
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
435 Passes 190
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor and Göztepe shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Trabzonspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 67% of the ball to Göztepe's 33%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.81 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.00 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Göztepe?

Trabzonspor 1-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 46%, draw 28%, Göztepe 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trabzonspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Under 2.5
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