Göztepe 2-1 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.35
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.37
X/2
14%
6.07
X/X
12%
4.79
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
14%
3.99
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.62/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.41
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.3 Crosses 16.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.55 xG 1.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
334 Passes 447
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-2 HT 2-2 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
23.10.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 0-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.04.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
06.01.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
12.06.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 1-3 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
02.11.2019 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
2-1
AWAY Trabzonspor
2.90 xG 1.91
30% Ball Possession 70%
19 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
163 Passes 473
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe nicked a narrow win over Trabzonspor 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Göztepe found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Göztepe had 30% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 70%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.90 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Göztepe and 1.67 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Trabzonspor?

Göztepe 2-1 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 35%, draw 30%, Trabzonspor 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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