Hatayspor 0-1 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 31% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.95
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
18%
4.82
X/2
9%
6.77
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.76
2/X
11%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.33/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.54
-13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.6 Crosses 16.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.50 xG 1.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
359 Passes 296
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 1-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
27.10.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
16.09.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-4 HT 0-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
04.02.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 4-3 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
19.09.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
07.03.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
0-1
AWAY Kayserispor
1.74 xG 1.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
353 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor nicked a narrow win over Hatayspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hatayspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 54% of the ball to Kayserispor's 46%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.74 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hatayspor and 2.50 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Kayserispor?

Hatayspor 0-1 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 42%, draw 28%, Kayserispor 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hatayspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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