Sivasspor 5-1 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.6pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.98/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.33
-37% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
23.3 Crosses 13.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.37 xG 1.45
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 448
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-4 HT 2-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
16.03.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-1 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
05.11.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
28.01.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
13.08.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
13.03.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-3 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
5-1
AWAY Adana Demirspor
3.34 xG 0.54
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
329 Passes 420
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor swept aside Adana Demirspor 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sivasspor had 44% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 56%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 3.34 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sivasspor and 2.33 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Sivasspor 5-1 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 59%, draw 22%, Adana Demirspor 18%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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