Adana Demirspor 2-4 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Oct 2024

Adana Demirspor
2-4 HT 2-1
Sivasspor
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Adana Demirspor vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.71
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
16%
5.81
X/2
12%
5.62
X/X
7%
4.86
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.54
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adana Demirspor v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.42/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.41
-25% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
15.5 Crosses 20.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Adana Demirspor vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sivasspor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
438 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-1 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
05.11.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
28.01.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
13.08.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
13.03.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-3 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
24.10.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL

Adana Demirspor 2-4 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
2-4
AWAY Sivasspor
1.72 xG 1.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
370 Passes 269
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor beat Adana Demirspor 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sivasspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 56% of the ball to Sivasspor's 44%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.72 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.17 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Sivasspor?

Adana Demirspor 2-4 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adana Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 41%, draw 22%, Sivasspor 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Adana Demirspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adana Demirspor) ✓ Over 2.5
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