Adana Demirspor 4-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.92
6+ Goals
6%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
12%
3.95
X/2
6%
9.73
X/X
19%
4.5
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
10%
7.95
2/X
4%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.4pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
2.09/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.47
+37% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
17.3 Crosses 15.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
421 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
28.01.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
13.08.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
13.03.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-3 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
24.10.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
12.01.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
4-1
AWAY Sivasspor
1.68 xG 0.48
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
523 Passes 203
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adana Demirspor swept aside Sivasspor 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Adana Demirspor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 67% of the ball to Sivasspor's 33%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.68 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.33 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Sivasspor?

Adana Demirspor 4-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adana Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 46%, draw 32%, Sivasspor 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adana Demirspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adana Demirspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
16 Mar 2024
13:30 Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor Analysis →
16:00 MKE Ankaragücü vs Başakşehir FK Analysis →
20:30 Beşiktaş vs Antalyaspor Analysis →