MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.49
6+ Goals
10%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.54
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
12%
4.98
X/2
11%
5.81
X/X
15%
3.97
2/1
11%
31.5
2/2
13%
4.39
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.41/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.29
-6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
16.0 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
314 Passes 430
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-3 HT 2-2 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
25.05.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-2 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
04.05.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TÜK
01.04.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
01.10.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
03.05.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
2-1
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.61 xG 1.66
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
243 Passes 423
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü nicked a narrow win over Başakşehir FK 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day MKE Ankaragücü made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 38% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 62%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.61 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 1.83 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Başakşehir FK?

MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 39%, draw 29%, Başakşehir FK 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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