Beşiktaş 1-2 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 31% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.54
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
19%
4.34
X/2
10%
8.06
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
10%
6.11
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -21%
1.77/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.46
+10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
23.4 Crosses 17.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.85 xG 0.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
448 Passes 289
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TÜK
05.11.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
06.05.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
26.02.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
06.02.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
05.01.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
1-2
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.25 xG 1.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
305 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
44 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor squeezed past Beşiktaş 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 51% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 49%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.25 to 1.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured Beşiktaş.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.00 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Antalyaspor?

Beşiktaş 1-2 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 46%, draw 27%, Antalyaspor 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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