Antalyaspor 1-2 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 8 Feb 2024

Antalyaspor
1-2 HT 1-0
Beşiktaş
📅08/02/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Antalyaspor vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
15%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.55
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.3
X/2
10%
5.62
X/X
11%
4.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.85
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Antalyaspor v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 38%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.07/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.04
-32% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +43%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
– Crosses 7.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Antalyaspor vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.75 xG 1.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
285 Passes 442
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
06.05.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
26.02.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
06.02.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
05.01.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSK
18.09.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-3 HT 2-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL

Antalyaspor 1-2 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
1-2
AWAY Beşiktaş
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş edged past Antalyaspor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Antalyaspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 61% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 39%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.50 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Beşiktaş?

Antalyaspor 1-2 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Cup on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 44%, draw 25%, Beşiktaş 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Antalyaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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