Gençlerbirliği 1-2 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 8 Feb 2024

Gençlerbirliği
1-2 HT 1-0
Trabzonspor
📅08/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
50%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.17
2-3 Goals
35%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
6.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
11.1
1/2
5%
20.1
1/X
5%
19.3
X/1
6%
15.25
X/2
19%
3.59
X/X EV+ ✗
17%
7.53
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
25%
1.61
2/X
5%
19.1
Value flag · X/X at 7.53 — our 17% vs market 9.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.3pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.0pp
50%
Away Win
67%
-17.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gençlerbirliği v Trabzonspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 71%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.77/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.91
+61% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
225 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 2.06
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
240 Passes 419
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.05.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
23.01.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
08.02.2020 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-2 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
15.09.2019 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
10.02.2018 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
10.09.2017 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL

Gençlerbirliği 1-2 Trabzonspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-2
AWAY Trabzonspor
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor edged past Gençlerbirliği 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 39% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 61%, shots finished 9-25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.83 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor?

Gençlerbirliği 1-2 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Cup on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 24%, draw 26%, Trabzonspor 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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