Norrköping 1-0 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒21:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.49
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.75
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
11%
14.0
X/1
10%
6.14
X/2
8%
4.74
X/X
11%
4.0
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.3
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.36/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.23
+47% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
21.8 Crosses 20.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
2W-0D-4L
AWAY AIK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.32 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
356 Passes 377
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 AIK AIK 6-2 HT 3-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
21.08.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 3-1 HT 2-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
10.04.2023 AIK AIK 0-3 HT 0-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
21.08.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-4 HT 0-3 AIK AIK İSÇ
10.04.2022 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
24.10.2021 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
1-0
AWAY AIK
0.48 xG 0.80
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
207 Passes 385
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 46
19 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping edged past AIK 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Norrköping found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Norrköping had 37% of the ball to AIK's 63%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.48 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Norrköping and 2.17 for AIK.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs AIK?

Norrköping 1-0 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated an AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 35%, draw 30%, AIK 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AIK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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