AIK 6-2 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 May 2024

AIK
6-2 HT 3-0
Norrköping
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

AIK vs Norrköping Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.45
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.17
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
15%
4.09
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
11%
4.81
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
11%
7.83
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AIK v Norrköping — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.44/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.70
-16% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.5 Crosses 18.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

AIK vs Norrköping Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Norrköping
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
348 Passes 359
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.08.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 3-1 HT 2-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
10.04.2023 AIK AIK 0-3 HT 0-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
21.08.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-4 HT 0-3 AIK AIK İSÇ
10.04.2022 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
24.10.2021 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
10.05.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 2-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ

AIK 6-2 Norrköping — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
6-2
AWAY Norrköping
2.07 xG 1.03
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
559 Passes 330
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AIK vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK ran out comfortable winners over Norrköping 6-2. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AIK had 61% of the ball to Norrköping's 39%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.07 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AIK and 1.67 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of AIK vs Norrköping?

AIK 6-2 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AIK 52%, draw 25%, Norrköping 23%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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