Vasteras SK FK 0-2 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.94
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.97
6+ Goals
7%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 31% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.44
1/2
11%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
12%
7.1
X/2
14%
4.48
X/X
13%
4.3
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.84
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 49%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.34/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.09
-100% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
21.0 Crosses 20.2
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
0-2
AWAY Djurgarden
3.16 xG 0.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
441 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
47 Box Touches 8
39 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden beat Vasteras SK FK 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Djurgarden found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 56% of the ball to Djurgarden's 44%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 3.16 to 0.77 — on chances, Vasteras SK FK could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgarden?

Vasteras SK FK 0-2 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 30%, draw 30%, Djurgarden 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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