Celta Vigo 1-0 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 Nov 2024

Celta Vigo
1-0 HT 1-0
Getafe
📅04/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Celta Vigo vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
6.31
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.97
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.3
X/1
14%
4.12
X/2
10%
7.18
X/X
9%
3.41
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
6.44
2/X
9%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celta Vigo v Getafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.40/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.33
+5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
388 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 66%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
19.6 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.7

Celta Vigo vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Getafe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.22
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
483 Passes 189
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Getafe Getafe 3-2 HT 2-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
08.10.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-2 HT 2-2 Getafe Getafe İS1
03.05.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
24.10.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-1 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
20.04.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-2 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
25.10.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-3 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1

Celta Vigo 1-0 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
1-0
AWAY Getafe
1.95 xG 0.56
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
479 Passes 320
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 19
6 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo nicked a narrow win over Getafe 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Celta Vigo had 58% of the ball to Getafe's 42%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.95 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Celta Vigo's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.50 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Getafe?

Celta Vigo 1-0 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 42%, draw 29%, Getafe 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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