Getafe 3-2 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.88
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.06
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
15%
4.19
X/2
12%
6.64
X/X
14%
3.48
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
10%
5.81
2/X
8%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.17/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.35
-17% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
248 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 71%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.3 Crosses 15.5
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.11
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
180 Passes 503
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-2 HT 2-2 Getafe Getafe İS1
03.05.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
24.10.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-1 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
20.04.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-2 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
25.10.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-3 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
12.05.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
3-2
AWAY Celta Vigo
2.15 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
268 Passes 306
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe squeezed past Celta Vigo 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Getafe as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Getafe had 48% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 52%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.15 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Getafe and 1.17 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

Getafe 3-2 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Getafe 43%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Getafe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Getafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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