Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Mallorca
İS1
3-0
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Mallorca
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Mallorca
İSPK
3-1
HT 2-0
Mallorca
İS1
Mallorca 2-1 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Mallorca nicked a narrow win over Rayo Vallecano 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Mallorca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mallorca had 49% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 51%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.91 to 1.61 — on chances, Rayo Vallecano could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mallorca and 1.17 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
Mallorca 2-1 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 32%, draw 31%, Rayo Vallecano 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.