Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sevilla v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Sevilla
HAZ
6-1
HT 2-1
Sevilla
İS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Madrid
İS1
1-1
HT 1-0
Sevilla
İS1
Sevilla 1-0 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Sevilla edged past Atletico Madrid 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Sevilla had 40% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 60%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.03 to 1.55 — on chances, Atletico Madrid could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sevilla and 2.00 for Atletico Madrid.
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?
Sevilla 1-0 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 31%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.