Paderborn 07 II 1-2 Wiedenbrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.53
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-17.0pp
31%
Draw
21%
+10.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Wiedenbrück EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.78/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.73
-17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn 07 II
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Wiedenbrück
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.04.2024 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 1-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 2-2 HT 1-1 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Paderborn 07 II vs Wiedenbrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wiedenbrück nicked a narrow win over Paderborn 07 II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paderborn 07 II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paderborn 07 II and 1.50 for Wiedenbrück.

What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Wiedenbrück?

Paderborn 07 II 1-2 Wiedenbrück in the Germany - Regional League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Wiedenbrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 44%, draw 31%, Wiedenbrück 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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