27/04/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Wiedenbrück vs Paderborn 07 II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
31%
Draw
27%
35%
Away Win
37%
54%
Under 2.5
48%
46%
Over 2.5
52%
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
50%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wiedenbrück v Paderborn 07 II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Wiedenbrück
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Paderborn 07 II
EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% /
-8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-26% /
-26%
1.48/1.47
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.19/1.50
+0%
/
-6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-16%
/
-2%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
5
291 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
325 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.1
Yellow Cards
1.6
Wiedenbrück vs Paderborn 07 II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Wiedenbrück
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Paderborn 07 II
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
04.11.2023
Paderborn 07 II
2-2
HT 1-1
Wiedenbrück
ALMBÖL
2-2
HT 1-1
Wiedenbrück
ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH
Wiedenbrück vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Wiedenbrück and Paderborn 07 II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Wiedenbrück vs Paderborn 07 II?
Wiedenbrück 1-1 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wiedenbrück vs Paderborn 07 II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Wiedenbrück 34%, draw 31%, Paderborn 07 II 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II)
✓ Under 2.5
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ALMBÖL
More Germany - Regional League
27 Apr 2024