Bayern München II 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
2.15/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.42
+18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 0.78
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
488 Passes 145
87% Pass Accuracy 65%
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-2 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
08.04.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
10.09.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-2 HT 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
26.09.2015 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München II
1-1
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.66 xG 1.06
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
437 Passes 192
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II and Viktoria Aschaffenburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Bayern München II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bayern München II had 65% of the ball to Viktoria Aschaffenburg's 35%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.66 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bayern München II and 1.17 for Viktoria Aschaffenburg.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Bayern München II 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 47%, draw 26%, Viktoria Aschaffenburg 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayern München II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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